Wednesday, March 16, 2011

The line in sand is here, so I will bail !!

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Let me just be blunt an to the point. I really do not care what the news is at this point, if we are below all these sand lines in the morning, I retreat to the G-fund. The S&P500 closed just below the sand line today at $1256.88. The Small Cap close just above the line in the sand @ $669.77. The Dow is just above it’s January 1st opening and the NASDAQ is below it’s line and in total collapse. Take a look at the charts below.

sp-daily$dwcpfdjinasdaq

I have no moves left as far as the C,S, I, and all the L-funds, but I can retreat to G which is what I will do if all the conditions warrant it tomorrow. If you have the option to retreat to the F-fund, you will want to look at the chart below. It has broken out once again and has also broken the pattern of lower high’s. You will see that pointed out on the chart.

agg

So tomorrow goes like this, if the S&P500 is below $1257.64 @ 11:30am tomorrow, I bail to G. If the Small Cap is below $664.00 @ 11:30am, I will bail to G. If they are both below their respective lines, I will bail to G with all those funds. Use you own discretion and be careful here. The closer you can wait till 12pm, noon to make your decision the better, but I will likely post my move pretty close to 11:30am.

Lastly, just in case your curious, below you find my current year to date return. You will see that moving out of the I completely and paring back the C and the S the other day saved my year to date return. I should be negative specially when you look at the I fund sitting at a 6.82% loss for the year.

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