Tuesday, February 28, 2017

TSP closing numbers for February 2017 & monthly moves.

Compare to February of 2016, 2017 kicked ass this time around. That was a 7.27% swing to the positive for me compared to last February. This time last year my daily method that I used for only myself was pretty much shelved and I have been doing nothing but the monthly moves since. Want to see what a difference a year makes?
 
 
I do not show this view often, but in the lower section to the left it shows where I rank year to date versus all the indexes and L-funds. So YTD, I’m doing pretty well so far. The next column to the right just shows the raw percentage I made each of the last 12 months, ending with February 2017. No dividends are included here which would make my actual number shown here lower than TSP would report via the PIP number. So I’ve made a raw 14.63% the last 12 months running nothing but the monthly moves. What really stands out is the 11 positive months versus one negative. If you look close at the last 4 months, it doesn’t take a rocket sciencetist to figure out the current trend can’t last much longer without a pull back. That’s a 13% gain in 4 months. Profits are going to be taken soon. Be careful just bailing for no reason though, because in March of 2016, the C, S, and I made 6.79%, 8.24%, and 6.59% respectively. Have a reason to bail and a reason to get in. So let’s get to the monthly moves.
 
S&P 500 
 
 
Small Cap 
 
 
International index 
 
 
Bonds 
 
Conclusion: No change going into March 2017. I stay 33% - C, 34% - S, and 33% - I
 
 

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